Winter 2009
Undersea Terrorism
– The Wilson Quarterly
Self-propelled semi-submersibles--primitive subs that ride low in the water--are a favorite choice for drug movers along the Colombian coast. They may pose a serious threat to American national security.
In the western lowlands of Colombia, where a labyrinth of rivers flow through rainforests and mangrove marshes teeming with exotic wildlife, drug smugglers are secretly constructing the next generation of naval craft—self-propelled semi-submersible (SPSS) vessels with a range of 1,500 miles and space for up to 15 metric tons of cargo. The SPSS is the new vessel of choice for drug traffickers, says Captain Wade F. Wilkenson, a special assistant to the commander of the U.S. Southern Command, but more ominously, it poses a new danger to American national security.
Generally built of wood and fiberglass, the primitive submarines have a small conning tower with a wave-top view for steering. They ride low in the water, usually about four to six inches above the waves, almost totally submerged. Piping directs the diesel engine exhaust back toward the vessel’s wake to dilute its infrared signature. Global positioning systems allow crews to navigate without external communications, to avoid signal detection. Powerful diesel engines can maintain cruising speeds of more than eight knots, but the boats tend to move slowly to avoid leaving an easily discernible wake.
Constructed and manned at a cost of $1 million to $2 million each, five boats, fully loaded, can double the drug traffickers’ return on investment in all five if just one of them makes it through, Wilkenson writes. A kilo of cocaine costs about $1,800 in Colombia but fetches at least $20,000 wholesale along the U.S. coast, where the drug runners usually rendezvous with dealers offshore. A four- or five-man crew—on board chiefly to offload when they reach their destination—gets fresh air through snorkel tubes. There are bunks, but no sanitary facilities. The vessels are typically used for one-way missions, and can be almost instantly scuttled if a law enforcement vessel is spotted.
SPSS vessels accounted for only one percent of the maritime cocaine flow from South America to the United States in 2006, but were responsible for 16 percent a year later, and were on track to carry more than 30 percent in 2008. Only 10 percent of known or suspected SPSS shipments have been intercepted. The underwater detection systems that flagged Soviet submarines when they left their home ports during the Cold War have no counterpart off the coast of Colombia. And sonobuoys work at a distance of two to three miles, and only under very good conditions, Wilkenson says.
The current rate at which the vessels are intercepted is inadequate, he writes. Developing perfect intelligence on every shipment or complete imperviousness in the six-million-square-mile transit zone seems unlikely. But, coordinated with the Colombian navy and marines, interdiction efforts can focus on the 1,800 miles of territorial waters along the Colombian coast.
With November attacks on tourist hotels in Mumbai by seaborne killers raising new concerns about terrorist attacks by sea, the fight against the SPSS vessels off Colombia could have implications for America’s security. Nobody expects a Colombian drug lord to launch an attack with weapons of mass destruction, but the SPSS technology might be used by enemies who would.
THE SOURCE: “A New Underwater Threat” by Wade F. Wilkenson, in Proceedings, Oct. 2008.
Photo courtesy of The U.S. Navy
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